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含初始冲击损伤玻璃纤维增强复合材料疲劳剩余强度的机器学习预测方法

ON FATIGUE RESIDUAL STRENGTH OF GLASS FIBER REINFORCED POLYMER COMPOSITES WITH INITIAL IMPACT DAMAGE: MACHINE LEARNING PREDICTION METHOD

  • 摘要: 玻璃纤维增强复合材料广泛应用于海上风机叶片, 但对低速冲击极为敏感, 易导致内部损伤并加速疲劳剩余强度退化. 为高效预测含冲击损伤玻璃纤维增强复合材料的疲劳剩余强度, 系统开展了落锤冲击、拉-拉疲劳及准静态拉伸试验, 并提出了基于机器学习的预测方法. 设计了6种铺层顺序和3种纤维体积分数的试样, 基于试验建立了疲劳剩余强度数据集. 推导了铺层顺序为45°/−45°2s和0°/90°2s的层合板的强度退化模型, 结果表明铺层顺序与纤维含量对剩余强度演化具有显著影响. 进一步地, 构建了基于支持向量机、随机森林、反向传播神经网络和贝叶斯神经网络的四种机器学习预测模型. 其中, 针对小样本条件下易出现的过拟合问题, 并兼顾工程应用中对不确定性量化和概率建模的需求, 重点提出了一种基于贝叶斯神经网络的冲击后疲劳剩余强度预测方法. 为使机器学习模型能够准确识别具有独立性和非连续性的参数, 开展了特征工程: 采用独热编码对铺层顺序进行有效表征, 并对冲击能量等连续输入特征实施 Z-score 归一化处理. 为准确评估含初始冲击损伤的玻璃纤维增强复合材料层合板的疲劳剩余强度, 选取冲击能量、铺层顺序、玻璃纤维含量及疲劳应力水平作为机器学习模型的输入特征开展冲击后疲劳剩余强度预测. 分析结果表明, 所有机器学习模型的剩余强度预测误差总体控制在 20% 以内, 其中贝叶斯神经网络模型在预测精度和稳定性方面表现最佳, 平均决定系数 R2 达到 0.9565.

     

    Abstract: Glass fiber reinforced polymer (GFRP) composites widely used in offshore wind turbine blades are highly susceptible to low-velocity impacts, which often induce internal damage and accelerate fatigue residual strength degradation. To efficiently predict the fatigue residual strength of GFRP composites with initial impact damage, a series of drop-weight impact, tension-tension fatigue, and quasi-static tensile tests are systematically conducted, and a machine learning-based prediction method is proposed. Specimens with six layup sequences and three fiber volume fractions are designed, and a fatigue residual strength dataset is established based on the experimental results. Degradation models are derived for two types of impact-damaged laminates with stacking sequences of 45°/−45°2s and 0°/90°2s, showing that both stacking sequence and fiber content significantly affect residual strength evolution. Furthermore, four machine learning-based prediction models are constructed, namely Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), Back-Propagation Neural Network (BPNN), and Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs). To mitigate overfitting under small-sample conditions and to meet the need for uncertainty quantification and probabilistic modeling in engineering applications, a BNNs-based prediction method is particularly developed for predicting post-impact fatigue residual strength. To enable the machine learning models to accurately recognize parameters that are discrete and mutually independent, feature engineering is carried out by employing one-hot encoding to effectively represent the layup sequence, and applying Z-score normalization to continuous input features such as impact energy. To accurately evaluate the fatigue residual strength of the glass fiber reinforced composite laminates with initial impact damage, impact energy, layup sequence, glass fiber content, and fatigue stress level are selected as input features for the machine learning models to predict the fatigue residual strength after impact. The analysis results indicate that the prediction errors of residual strength for all machine learning models are generally controlled within 20%, among which the BNNs-based model performs best in terms of prediction accuracy and stability, with an average coefficient of determination R2 = 0.9565.

     

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